Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.721071 0.850499 0.990844 1.153649 1.336607 1.535161 1.766213
2025-04-27 0.513666 0.691673 0.904158 1.173052 1.500607 1.882960 2.359060
2025-05-04 0.370365 0.566367 0.822256 1.172093 1.628473 2.193881 2.936530
2025-05-11 0.265973 0.461035 0.738482 1.145586 1.709690 2.444873 3.454110
2025-05-18 0.202605 0.395006 0.690902 1.152803 1.826338 2.741467 4.043061
2025-05-25 0.149158 0.328738 0.627669 1.123362 1.881909 2.952916 4.525823
2025-06-01 0.117455 0.289838 0.597873 1.136046 1.993700 3.243507 5.127153
2025-06-08 0.090549 0.251486 0.560575 1.129068 2.071003 3.485044 5.667976
2025-06-15 0.077470 0.237308 0.562678 1.185709 2.249265 3.882058 6.448096
2025-06-22 0.063996 0.217872 0.550859 1.215306 2.384046 4.218543 7.152403
2025-06-29 0.048791 0.188636 0.513702 1.193456 2.429655 4.417793 7.658200
2025-07-06 0.040205 0.173556 0.502752 1.218029 2.554079 4.744503 8.367936
2025-07-13 0.031772 0.155879 0.483727 1.226645 2.654846 5.044668 9.060130
2025-07-20 0.024942 0.140032 0.465787 1.235348 2.756760 5.352947 9.780348
2025-07-27 0.018916 0.123497 0.442382 1.229322 2.830527 5.617788 10.442485
2025-08-03 0.013511 0.105421 0.410316 1.199670 2.856321 5.801660 10.980600
2025-08-10 0.010345 0.094716 0.395578 1.206220 2.951171 6.106829 11.725637
2025-08-17 0.007154 0.080549 0.366667 1.175321 2.968545 6.276290 12.251531
2025-08-24 0.005475 0.073246 0.356795 1.188286 3.074178 6.604773 13.051353
2025-08-31 0.003919 0.064577 0.339830 1.180984 3.136718 6.857636 13.731013
2025-09-07 0.003380 0.063260 0.348169 1.239602 3.341439 7.376580 14.878628
2025-09-14 0.002674 0.059354 0.346037 1.270226 3.487847 7.793374 15.862356
2025-09-21 0.001766 0.051258 0.325277 1.247601 3.516699 7.992543 16.475242